Pharmacy chains activity analysis

Pharmacy chains activity analysis

Russian pharmaceuticals retail chain segment evaluation, both on the level of the state and in particular regions. Pharmacy chains development forecast

Forecasting

Product sales and separate market development forecast, based on unique mathematical models

Business and marketing plan development

Development of detailed business-plans, required to evaluate the reasonability of project start

Search of partners for contract production in Russia

Potential partners search and evaluation, based on their technical opportunities, appropriate experience, and reputation

Monitoring of import substitution

assessment of the main trends of import substitution policies and localization processes in the pharmaceutical market in Russia, the key beneficiaries and companies at risk

Pharmaceutical Drug Import to Russia (May 2022)

Thursday, July 14, 2022

In January–May 2022, Russia imported 333.1 billion rubles’ worth of ready-made pharmaceutical drugs (customs clearance and VAT included), up 7% from the same period in 2021. As for bulk drugs, the import was 70.4 billion rubles, up 11.6% from January–May 2021. In physical terms, the growth rates were negative for both groups: –10% for ready-made drugs (660 million packages), and –31% for bulk drugs (655.8 million minimum dosage units—MDUs).

In May 2022, however, only one group had negative growth rates. The import of ready-made drugs increased 17.7% in rubles, while the import of bulk drugs decreased 30%. The negative trend for bulk drugs was most likely due to the active growth of imports back in April, when the growth rate in rubles was nearly 79%. Yet, the imports grew in monetary terms mainly due to the inflation factor. In physical terms, both groups suffered negative growth rates: –17% for ready-made drugs (in packages) and –30% for bulk drugs (in MDUs). We detect a similar pattern for the second month in a row.

Israel had the best growth rates of the import of ready-made drugs in physical terms in January–May 2022—the country increased its imports 12.3 times against January–May 2021, while importing mainly products manufactured there. Israel is followed by Turkey (2.3 times), which served as a transit country and imported drugs manufactured mostly in India. India has been actively searching for opportunities to import through third countries; in addition to Turkey, India has increased imports through Finland, but is still unable to compensate for the drop in direct imports. Indian manufacturers of ready-made drugs were the ones mostly affected by the sanctions on Russia, losing nearly 2.5 billion rubles in the first 5 months of 2022.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals had the highest growth rates among the top importers of ready-made drugs in monetary terms (37.8 times), followed by Biogen (5.1 times). Drugs for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, Trikafta and Orkambi, helped the growth rates of Vertex Pharmaceuticals, although Trikafta is yet to be registered in Russia. Biogen increased its imports of Spinraza, a drug for SMA, and Plegridy, a drug for multiple sclerosis.

As for bulk drugs, Eli Lilly showed the best growth rates among the top 20 companies—its imports grew 2.6 times against January–May 2021. Its antitumor drug Cyramza contributed to the growth rates the most; Pharmstandard in Ufa is responsible for the final stages of the production cycle. Astellas increased its imports by 94%, importing six products. Flemoxin Solutab, packaged by Ortat (R-Pharm group), contributed to the company’s growth rates the most.

Growth rates of imports of pharmaceuticals to Russia (EEU countries excluded), free circulation prices, customs clearance and VAT included, RUB (January 2021—May 2022)

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